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CHN China Division 2 · Partida ·

Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score0–11.85 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa17%
Empate31%
Vitória visitante53%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante53% selection probability
Projected score0–1Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Expected goals1.85Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo72% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
17% / 31% / 53%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Changchun Xidu win (16.6%)Dupla ChanceX283.4%1.20
Acima 28% · Abaixo 72%Goals 2.5Abaixo72%1.39
Sim 28% · Não 72%Ambas as equipes marcamNão72%1.39
1.85 total expected goalsPlacar exato0–1
8.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Changchun Xidu win17%5.88
Empate31%3.23
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win53%1.89

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Changchun Xidu0.44

Mandante share of expected goals 23.8%

Total expected goals1.85Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 28% · Abaixo 72%

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1.41

Visitante share of expected goals 76.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitSim 28% · Não 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Changchun Xidu

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

3.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontos15

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
53%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.44
Expected goals
1.41
Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Changchun Xidu signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shanxi Chongde Ronghai signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 0–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Changchun Xidu ganhou 17%,Empate 31%,Shanxi Chongde Ronghai ganhou 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.85 · Acima 2.5 28% · Current selection Abaixo