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CHN China Division 2 · Match ·

Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score0–11.85 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile17%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur53%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur53% selection probability
Projected score0–1Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Expected goals1.85Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de72% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
17% / 31% / 53%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Changchun Xidu win (16.6%)Double chanceX283.4%1.20
Plus de 28% · Moins de 72%Goals 2.5Moins de72%1.39
Oui 28% · Non 72%Les deux équipes marquentNon72%1.39
1.85 total expected goalsScore exact0–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Changchun Xidu win17%5.88
Nul31%3.23
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win53%1.89

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Changchun Xidu0.44

Domicile share of expected goals 23.8%

Total expected goals1.85Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 28% · Moins de 72%

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1.41

Extérieur share of expected goals 76.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitOui 28% · Non 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Changchun Xidu

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

3.00pts / match
Joués5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Gagné probability excluding draw
53%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.44
Expected goals
1.41
Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Changchun Xidu signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shanxi Chongde Ronghai signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 0–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Changchun Xidu victoire 17%,Nul 31%,Shanxi Chongde Ronghai victoire 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.85 · Plus de 2.5 28% · Current selection Moins de