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CHN China Division 2 · Partita ·

Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score0–11.86 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa17%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite53%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite53% selection probability
Projected score0–1Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto72% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
17% / 31% / 53%Esito partitaVittoria ospite53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Changchun Xidu win (16.6%)Doppia ChanceX283.4%1.20
Sopra 28% · Sotto 72%Goals 2.5Sotto72%1.39
Sì 28% · No 72%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo72%1.39
1.86 total expected goalsRisultato esatto0–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Changchun Xidu win17%5.88
Pareggio31%3.23
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win53%1.89

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Changchun Xidu0.45

Casa share of expected goals 24.2%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 28% · Sotto 72%

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1.41

Trasferta share of expected goals 75.8%

Projected score0–1BTTS split 28% · No 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Changchun Xidu

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

3.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punti15

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Vinta probability excluding draw
53%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.45
Expected goals
1.41
Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Changchun Xidu signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shanxi Chongde Ronghai signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 0–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Changchun Xidu vinta 17%,Pareggio 31%,Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vinta 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Sopra 2.5 28% · Current selection Sotto