Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
17% / 31% / 53%Match resultAway win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Changchun Xidu win (16.6%)Double chanceX283.4%1.20
Over 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Yes 28% · No 72%Both teams scoreNo72%1.39
1.85 total expected goalsCorrect score0–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Changchun Xidu win17%5.88
Draw31%3.23
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win53%1.89
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 23.8%
Total expected goals1.85Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 28% · Under 72%
Away share of expected goals 76.2%
Projected score0–1BTTS splitYes 28% · No 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchChangchun Xidu
LDDLW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchShanxi Chongde Ronghai
WWWWW
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
17%
Win probability excluding draw
53%5
Points from supplied form
150.44
Expected goals
1.41Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 0–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Changchun Xidu win 17%，Draw 31%，Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win 53%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.85 · Over 2.5 28% · Current selection Under。