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CHN China Division 2 · Maç ·

Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score0–11.85 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır17%
Beraberlik31%
Deplasman kazanır53%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır53% selection probability
Projected score0–1Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Expected goals1.85Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt72% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
17% / 31% / 53%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Changchun Xidu win (16.6%)Çifte ŞansX283.4%1.20
Üst 28% · Alt 72%Goals 2.5Alt72%1.39
Evet 28% · Hayır 72%Karşılıklı gol varHayır72%1.39
1.85 total expected goalsDoğru skor0–1
8.7 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Changchun Xidu win17%5.88
Beraberlik31%3.23
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win53%1.89

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Changchun Xidu0.44

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 23.8%

Total expected goals1.85Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 28% · Alt 72%

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1.41

Deplasman share of expected goals 76.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitEvet 28% · Hayır 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Changchun Xidu

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

3.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puan15

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
53%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.44
Expected goals
1.41
Changchun XiduShanxi Chongde Ronghai
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Changchun Xidu signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shanxi Chongde Ronghai signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 0–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Changchun Xidu kazanç 17%,Beraberlik 31%,Shanxi Chongde Ronghai kazanç 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.85 · 2.5 Üst 28% · Current selection Alt