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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Матч ·

СА Бартоломе Митра vs СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–01.06 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья32%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score1–0СА Бартоломе МитраСА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда
Expected goals1.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше91% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет86% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 32% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда win (26.5%)Двойной шанс1X73.5%1.36
Больше 9% · Меньше 91%Goals 2.5Меньше91%1.10
Да 14% · Нет 86%Обе забьютНет86%1.16
1.06 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–0
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapСА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
СА Бартоломе Митра win41%2.442.2040.8%+0.2 pp
Ничья32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда win27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

СА Бартоломе Митра0.76

Хозяева share of expected goals 71.7%

Total expected goals1.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 9% · Меньше 91%

СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда0.30

Гости share of expected goals 28.3%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitДа 14% · Нет 86%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

СА Бартоломе Митра

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.30
СА Бартоломе МитраСА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01СА Бартоломе Митра signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

СА Бартоломе Митра vs СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–0 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

СА Бартоломе Митра выигрыш 41%,Ничья 32%,СА Сармьенто-де-ла-Банда выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.06 · ТБ 2.5 9% · Current selection Меньше