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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partido ·

CA Bartolomé Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–01.06 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local41%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante27%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local41% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA Bartolomé MitreCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Expected goals1.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de91% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo86% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
41% / 32% / 27%Resultado del partidoVictoria local41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (26.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X73.5%1.36
Más de 9% · Menos de 91%Goals 2.5Menos de91%1.10
Sí 14% · No 86%Ambos equipos marcanNo86%1.16
1.06 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–0
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCA Sarmiento de la Banda winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Bartolomé Mitre win41%2.442.2040.8%+0.2 pp
Empate32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
CA Sarmiento de la Banda win27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Bartolomé Mitre0.76

Local share of expected goals 71.7%

Total expected goals1.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 9% · Menos de 91%

CA Sarmiento de la Banda0.30

Visitante share of expected goals 28.3%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 14% · No 86%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CA Bartolomé Mitre

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CA Sarmiento de la Banda

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganado probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.30
CA Bartolomé MitreCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Bartolomé Mitre signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Sarmiento de la Banda signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

CA Bartolomé Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–0 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Bartolomé Mitre ganada 41%,Empate 32%,CA Sarmiento de la Banda ganada 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.06 · Más de 2.5 9% · Current selection Menos de