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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partita ·

CA Bartolome Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–01.06 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa41%
Pareggio32%
Vittoria ospite27%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa41% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA Bartolome MitreCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Expected goals1.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto91% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo86% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
41% / 32% / 27%Esito partitaVittoria casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (26.5%)Doppia Chance1X73.5%1.36
Sopra 9% · Sotto 91%Goals 2.5Sotto91%1.10
Sì 14% · No 86%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo86%1.16
1.06 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–0
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCA Sarmiento de la Banda winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Bartolome Mitre win41%2.442.2040.8%+0.2 pp
Pareggio32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
CA Sarmiento de la Banda win27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Bartolome Mitre0.76

Casa share of expected goals 71.7%

Total expected goals1.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 9% · Sotto 91%

CA Sarmiento de la Banda0.30

Trasferta share of expected goals 28.3%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 14% · No 86%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

CA Bartolome Mitre

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

CA Sarmiento de la Banda

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vinta probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.30
CA Bartolome MitreCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Bartolome Mitre signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Sarmiento de la Banda signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

CA Bartolome Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–0 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Bartolome Mitre vinta 41%,Pareggio 32%,CA Sarmiento de la Banda vinta 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.06 · Sopra 2.5 9% · Current selection Sotto