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ARG 阿根廷全國甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷 vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–01.06 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝41%
32%
客勝27%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝41% selection probability
Projected score1–0CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Expected goals1.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.591% for the selected side
雙方進球86% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
41% / 32% / 27%比賽結果主勝41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (26.5%)雙重機會1X73.5%1.36
大 9% · 小 91%Goals 2.591%1.10
是 14% · 否 86%雙方進球86%1.16
1.06 total expected goals正確比分1–0
9.5 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCA Sarmiento de la Banda winDifference-1.0 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷 win41%2.442.2040.8%+0.2 pp
32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
CA Sarmiento de la Banda win27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷0.76

主隊 share of expected goals 71.7%

Total expected goals1.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 9% · 91%

CA Sarmiento de la Banda0.30

客隊 share of expected goals 28.3%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 14% · 86%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

CA Sarmiento de la Banda

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
贏 probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.30
CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Sarmiento de la Banda signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷 vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–0 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA巴爾托洛梅米特雷 41%, 32%,CA Sarmiento de la Banda 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.06 · 大2.5 9% · Current selection