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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Мач ·

Бартоломе Митре vs Сармиенто де ла Банда

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–01.06 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина41%
Равен32%
Победа за госта27%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина41% selection probability
Projected score1–0Бартоломе МитреСармиенто де ла Банда
Expected goals1.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под91% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе86% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
41% / 32% / 27%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сармиенто де ла Банда win (26.5%)Двоен шанс1X73.5%1.36
Над 9% · Под 91%Goals 2.5Под91%1.10
Да 14% · Не 86%И двата отбора да отбележатНе86%1.16
1.06 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–0
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapСармиенто де ла Банда winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бартоломе Митре win41%2.442.2040.8%+0.2 pp
Равен32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
Сармиенто де ла Банда win27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бартоломе Митре0.76

Домакин share of expected goals 71.7%

Total expected goals1.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 9% · Под 91%

Сармиенто де ла Банда0.30

Гост share of expected goals 28.3%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitДа 14% · Не 86%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Бартоломе Митре

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Сармиенто де ла Банда

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.30
Бартоломе МитреСармиенто де ла Банда
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бартоломе Митре signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сармиенто де ла Банда signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Бартоломе Митре vs Сармиенто де ла Банда FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–0 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бартоломе Митре печеливш 41%,Равен 32%,Сармиенто де ла Банда печеливш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.06 · Над 2.5 9% · Current selection Под