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NOR Norvegia - Toppserien - Feminin · Meci ·

Valerenga (F) vs Honefoss (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score3–13.62 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde79%
Egal13%
Victorie oaspeți8%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 79% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde79% selection probability
Projected score3–1Valerenga (F)Honefoss (F)
Expected goals3.62Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste70% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
79% / 13% / 8%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Honefoss (F) win (8.2%)Șansă dublă1X91.8%1.09
Peste 70% · Sub 30%Goals 2.5Peste70%1.43
Da 49% · Nu 51%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51%1.96
3.62 total expected goalsScor corect3–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapValerenga (F) winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Valerenga (F) win79%1.271.1878.4%+0.6 pp
Egal13%7.697.0013.2%-0.2 pp
Honefoss (F) win8%12.5011.008.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valerenga (F)2.89

Gazde share of expected goals 79.8%

Total expected goals3.62Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 70% · Sub 30%

Honefoss (F)0.73

Oaspeți share of expected goals 20.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitDa 49% · Nu 51%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Valerenga (F)

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Honefoss (F)

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
Câștig probability excluding draw
8%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.89
Expected goals
0.73
Valerenga (F)Honefoss (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valerenga (F) signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Honefoss (F) signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

Valerenga (F) vs Honefoss (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 3–1 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valerenga (F) câștig 79%,Egal 13%,Honefoss (F) câștig 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Peste 2.5 70% · Current selection Peste