MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
NOR Norway Toppserien Women · Fixture ·

Valerenga (W) vs Honefoss (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win82%
Draw12%
Away win6%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win82% selection probability
Projected score3–1Valerenga (W)Honefoss (W)
Expected goals3.62Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
82% / 12% / 6%Match resultHome win82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Honefoss (W) win (6.2%)Double chance1X93.8%1.07
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
3.62 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Valerenga (W) win82%1.221.1382.2%-0.2 pp
Draw12%8.338.0011.6%+0.4 pp
Honefoss (W) win6%16.6715.006.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valerenga (W)2.89

Home share of expected goals 79.8%

Total expected goals3.62Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Honefoss (W)0.73

Away share of expected goals 20.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Valerenga (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Honefoss (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Win probability excluding draw
6%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.89
Expected goals
0.73
Valerenga (W)Honefoss (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valerenga (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Honefoss (W) signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Valerenga (W) vs Honefoss (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valerenga (W) win 82%,Draw 12%,Honefoss (W) win 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over