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NOR Norwegia - Toppserien - Kobiety · Mecz ·

Valerenga (K) vs Honefoss (K)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–13.62 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy69%
Remis19%
Wygrana gości12%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy69% selection probability
Projected score3–1Valerenga (K)Honefoss (K)
Expected goals3.62Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej70% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
69% / 19% / 12%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Honefoss (K) win (12.2%)Podwójna szansa1X87.8%1.14
Powyżej 70% · Poniżej 30%Goals 2.5Powyżej70%1.43
Tak 49% · Nie 51%Obie drużyny strzeląNie51%1.96
3.62 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Valerenga (K) win69%1.45
Remis19%5.26
Honefoss (K) win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valerenga (K)2.89

Gospodarze share of expected goals 79.8%

Total expected goals3.62Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 70% · Poniżej 30%

Honefoss (K)0.73

Goście share of expected goals 20.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitTak 49% · Nie 51%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Valerenga (K)

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Honefoss (K)

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
12%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.89
Expected goals
0.73
Valerenga (K)Honefoss (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valerenga (K) signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Honefoss (K) signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Valerenga (K) vs Honefoss (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valerenga (K) wygrana 69%,Remis 19%,Honefoss (K) wygrana 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Powyżej 2.5 70% · Current selection Powyżej