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Valerenga (K) vs Hønefoss (K)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.62 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr69%
Uafgjort19%
Udesejr12%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr69% selection probability
Projected score3–1Valerenga (K)Hønefoss (K)
Expected goals3.62Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
69% / 19% / 12%KampresultatHjemmesejr69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hønefoss (K) win (12.2%)Dobbeltchance1X87.8%1.14
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Begge hold scorerNej51%1.96
3.62 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Valerenga (K) win69%1.45
Uafgjort19%5.26
Hønefoss (K) win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valerenga (K)2.89

Hjemme share of expected goals 79.8%

Total expected goals3.62Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Hønefoss (K)0.73

Ude share of expected goals 20.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Valerenga (K)

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Hønefoss (K)

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Vundet probability excluding draw
12%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.89
Expected goals
0.73
Valerenga (K)Hønefoss (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valerenga (K) signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hønefoss (K) signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Valerenga (K) vs Hønefoss (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valerenga (K) vundet 69%,Uafgjort 19%,Hønefoss (K) vundet 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over