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NOR Noorwegen - Toppserien - Dames · Wedstrijd ·

Valerenga (D) vs Honefoss (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–13.62 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst79%
Gelijkspel13%
Uitwinst8%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 79% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst79% selection probability
Projected score3–1Valerenga (D)Honefoss (D)
Expected goals3.62Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven70% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
79% / 13% / 8%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Honefoss (D) win (8.2%)Dubbele Kans1X91.8%1.09
Boven 70% · Onder 30%Goals 2.5Boven70%1.43
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
3.62 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapValerenga (D) winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Valerenga (D) win79%1.271.1878.4%+0.6 pp
Gelijkspel13%7.697.0013.2%-0.2 pp
Honefoss (D) win8%12.5011.008.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valerenga (D)2.89

Thuis share of expected goals 79.8%

Total expected goals3.62Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 70% · Onder 30%

Honefoss (D)0.73

Uit share of expected goals 20.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Valerenga (D)

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Honefoss (D)

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
8%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.89
Expected goals
0.73
Valerenga (D)Honefoss (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valerenga (D) signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Honefoss (D) signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

Valerenga (D) vs Honefoss (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valerenga (D) gewonnen 79%,Gelijkspel 13%,Honefoss (D) gewonnen 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Boven 2.5 70% · Current selection Boven