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NOR Norwegen - Toppserien - Frauen · Spiel ·

Vålerenga (F) vs Hønefoss (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.62 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg69%
Unentschieden19%
Auswärtssieg12%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg69% selection probability
Projected score3–1Vålerenga (F)Hønefoss (F)
Expected goals3.62Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über70% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
69% / 19% / 12%SpielergebnisHeimsieg69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hønefoss (F) win (12.2%)Doppelte Chance1X87.8%1.14
Über 70% · Unter 30%Goals 2.5Über70%1.43
Ja 49% · Nein 51%Beide Teams treffenNein51%1.96
3.62 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
9.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Vålerenga (F) win69%1.45
Unentschieden19%5.26
Hønefoss (F) win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vålerenga (F)2.89

Heim share of expected goals 79.8%

Total expected goals3.62Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 70% · Unter 30%

Hønefoss (F)0.73

Auswärts share of expected goals 20.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nein 51%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Vålerenga (F)

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Hønefoss (F)

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
12%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.89
Expected goals
0.73
Vålerenga (F)Hønefoss (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vålerenga (F) signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hønefoss (F) signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Vålerenga (F) vs Hønefoss (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vålerenga (F) Gewinn 69%,Unentschieden 19%,Hønefoss (F) Gewinn 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Über 2.5 70% · Current selection Über