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NLD Países Baixos - Eerste Divisie · Final ·

De Graafschap vs AZ - Reservas

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score2–5Previsão 3–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa54%
Empate21%
Vitória visitante24%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa54% selection probability
Projected score3–1De GraafschapAZ - Reservas
Expected goals4.03Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima77% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
54% / 21% / 24%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Dupla Chance1278.7%1.27
Acima 77% · Abaixo 23%Goals 2.5Acima77%1.30
Sim 70% · Não 30%Ambas as equipes marcamSim70%1.43
4.03 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–1
10.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapAZ - Reservas winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
De Graafschap win54%1.851.7553.5%+0.5 pp
Empate21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
AZ - Reservas win24%4.173.7524.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

De Graafschap2.62

Mandante share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals4.03Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 77% · Abaixo 23%

AZ - Reservas1.41

Visitante share of expected goals 35%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitSim 70% · Não 30%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

AZ - Reservas

2.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontos12

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
12
2.62
Expected goals
1.41
De GraafschapAZ - Reservas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01De Graafschap signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AZ - Reservas signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

De Graafschap vs AZ - Reservas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 3–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

De Graafschap ganhou 54%,Empate 21%,AZ - Reservas ganhou 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Acima 2.5 77% · Current selection Acima