Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
46% / 28% / 26%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Septemvri Sofia win (26.4%)Dupla Chance1X73.6%1.36
Acima 51% · Abaixo 49%Goals 2.5Acima51%1.96
Sim 53% · Não 47%Ambas as equipes marcamSim53%1.89
2.73 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1——
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Spartak Varna win46%2.17
Empate28%3.57
Septemvri Sofia win26%3.85
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Mandante share of expected goals 61.5%
Total expected goals2.73Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Acima 51% · Abaixo 49%
Visitante share of expected goals 38.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 53% · Não 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Mandante-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSpartak Varna
LWWDW
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10
SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchSeptemvri Sofia
LLLDD
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2
SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
26%10
Points from supplied form
21.68
Expected goals
1.05Spartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Spartak Varna ganhou 46%，Empate 28%，Septemvri Sofia ganhou 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.73 · Acima 2.5 51% · Current selection Acima。