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BGR 保加利亞甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

華納斯巴達 vs 塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.73 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝46%
28%
客勝26%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝46% selection probability
Projected score2–1華納斯巴達塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.551% for the selected side
雙方進球53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
46% / 28% / 26%比賽結果主勝46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 win (26.4%)雙重機會1X73.6%1.36
大 51% · 小 49%Goals 2.551%1.96
是 53% · 否 47%雙方進球53%1.89
2.73 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.8 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
華納斯巴達 win46%2.17
28%3.57
塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

華納斯巴達1.68

主隊 share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 51% · 49%

塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞1.05

客隊 share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

華納斯巴達

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
贏 probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.68
Expected goals
1.05
華納斯巴達塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01華納斯巴達 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

華納斯巴達 vs 塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

華納斯巴達 46%, 28%,塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · 大2.5 51% · Current selection