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NLD Нидерландия - Ерсте Дивизия · Final ·

De Graafschap vs АЗ резерви

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–5Прогноза 3–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина54%
Равен21%
Победа за госта24%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Непознат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина54% selection probability
Projected score3–1De GraafschapАЗ резерви
Expected goals4.03Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над77% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
54% / 21% / 24%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Двоен шанс1278.7%1.27
Над 77% · Под 23%Goals 2.5Над77%1.30
Да 70% · Не 30%И двата отбора да отбележатДа70%1.43
4.03 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–1
10.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapАЗ резерви winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
De Graafschap win54%1.851.7553.5%+0.5 pp
Равен21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
АЗ резерви win24%4.173.7524.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

De Graafschap2.62

Домакин share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals4.03Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 77% · Под 23%

АЗ резерви1.41

Гост share of expected goals 35%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 70% · Не 30%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

АЗ резерви

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
12
2.62
Expected goals
1.41
De GraafschapАЗ резерви
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01De Graafschap signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02АЗ резерви signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

De Graafschap vs АЗ резерви FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 3–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

De Graafschap печеливш 54%,Равен 21%,АЗ резерви печеливш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Над 2.5 77% · Current selection Над