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NLD Paesi Bassi - Eerste Divisie · Final ·

De Graafschap vs AZ riserve

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score2–5Pronostico 3–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa54%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite24%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa54% selection probability
Projected score3–1De GraafschapAZ riserve
Expected goals4.03Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra77% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
54% / 21% / 24%Esito partitaVittoria casa54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Doppia Chance1278.7%1.27
Sopra 77% · Sotto 23%Goals 2.5Sopra77%1.30
Sì 70% · No 30%Entrambe le squadre segnano70%1.43
4.03 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapAZ riserve winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
De Graafschap win54%1.851.7553.5%+0.5 pp
Pareggio21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
AZ riserve win24%4.173.7524.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

De Graafschap2.62

Casa share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals4.03Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 77% · Sotto 23%

AZ riserve1.41

Trasferta share of expected goals 35%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 70% · No 30%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

AZ riserve

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
12
2.62
Expected goals
1.41
De GraafschapAZ riserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01De Graafschap signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AZ riserve signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

De Graafschap vs AZ riserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

De Graafschap vinta 54%,Pareggio 21%,AZ riserve vinta 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Sopra 2.5 77% · Current selection Sopra