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NLD Niederlande - Eerste Divisie · Final ·

De Graafschap vs AZ - Reserve

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–5Prognose 3–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg54%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg24%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg54% selection probability
Projected score3–1De GraafschapAZ - Reserve
Expected goals4.03Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über77% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
54% / 21% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Doppelte Chance1278.7%1.27
Über 77% · Unter 23%Goals 2.5Über77%1.30
Ja 70% · Nein 30%Beide Teams treffenJa70%1.43
4.03 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
10.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapAZ - Reserve winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
De Graafschap win54%1.851.7553.5%+0.5 pp
Unentschieden21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
AZ - Reserve win24%4.173.7524.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

De Graafschap2.62

Heim share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals4.03Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 77% · Unter 23%

AZ - Reserve1.41

Auswärts share of expected goals 35%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 70% · Nein 30%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

AZ - Reserve

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
12
2.62
Expected goals
1.41
De GraafschapAZ - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01De Graafschap signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AZ - Reserve signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

De Graafschap vs AZ - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

De Graafschap Gewinn 54%,Unentschieden 21%,AZ - Reserve Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Über 2.5 77% · Current selection Über