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NLD Pays-Bas - Eerste Divisie · Final ·

De Graafschap vs AZ - Réserves

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–5Pronostic 3–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile54%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur24%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile54% selection probability
Projected score3–1De GraafschapAZ - Réserves
Expected goals4.03Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de77% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
54% / 21% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Double chance1278.7%1.27
Plus de 77% · Moins de 23%Goals 2.5Plus de77%1.30
Oui 70% · Non 30%Les deux équipes marquentOui70%1.43
4.03 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapAZ - Réserves winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
De Graafschap win54%1.851.7553.5%+0.5 pp
Nul21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
AZ - Réserves win24%4.173.7524.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

De Graafschap2.62

Domicile share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals4.03Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 77% · Moins de 23%

AZ - Réserves1.41

Extérieur share of expected goals 35%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 70% · Non 30%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

AZ - Réserves

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gagné probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
12
2.62
Expected goals
1.41
De GraafschapAZ - Réserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01De Graafschap signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AZ - Réserves signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

De Graafschap vs AZ - Réserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

De Graafschap victoire 54%,Nul 21%,AZ - Réserves victoire 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Plus de 2.5 77% · Current selection Plus de