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NLD Madalmaade Eerste Divisie · Final ·

De Graafschap vs AZ - reservid

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score2–5Ennustus 3–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit54%
Viik21%
Võõrsilvõit24%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Kaotatud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit54% selection probability
Projected score3–1De GraafschapAZ - reservid
Expected goals4.03Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle77% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
54% / 21% / 24%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Topeltvõimalus1278.7%1.27
Üle 77% · Alla 23%Goals 2.5Üle77%1.30
Jah 70% · Ei 30%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah70%1.43
4.03 total expected goalsTäpne skoor3–1
10.8 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapAZ - reservid winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
De Graafschap win54%1.851.7553.5%+0.5 pp
Viik21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
AZ - reservid win24%4.173.7524.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

De Graafschap2.62

Kodu share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals4.03Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 77% · Alla 23%

AZ - reservid1.41

Võõras share of expected goals 35%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJah 70% · Ei 30%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

AZ - reservid

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Võit probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
12
2.62
Expected goals
1.41
De GraafschapAZ - reservid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01De Graafschap signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AZ - reservid signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

De Graafschap vs AZ - reservid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 3–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

De Graafschap võit 54%,Viik 21%,AZ - reservid võit 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Üle 2.5 77% · Current selection Üle