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BRA Brazylia - Serie B · Mecz ·

Vila Nova vs Ceara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.56 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy50%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości22%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Vila NovaCeara
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej53% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
50% / 28% / 22%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ceara win (21.6%)Podwójna szansa1X78.4%1.28
Powyżej 47% · Poniżej 53%Goals 2.5Poniżej53%1.89
Tak 47% · Nie 53%Obie drużyny strzeląNie53%1.89
2.56 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.2 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vila Nova win50%2.001.8549.8%+0.2 pp
Remis28%3.573.2528.3%-0.3 pp
Ceara win22%4.554.2021.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vila Nova1.71

Gospodarze share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 47% · Poniżej 53%

Ceara0.85

Goście share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 47% · Nie 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Vila Nova

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Ceara

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.71
Expected goals
0.85
Vila NovaCeara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vila Nova signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ceara signalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Vila Nova vs Ceara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vila Nova wygrana 50%,Remis 28%,Ceara wygrana 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Powyżej 2.5 47% · Current selection Poniżej