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BRA Бразилия - Серия B · Мач ·

Вила Нова vs Сеара

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.56 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина50%
Равен28%
Победа за госта22%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Вила НоваСеара
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
50% / 28% / 22%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сеара win (21.6%)Двоен шанс1X78.4%1.28
Над 47% · Под 53%Goals 2.5Под53%1.89
Да 47% · Не 53%И двата отбора да отбележатНе53%1.89
2.56 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.2 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Вила Нова win50%2.001.8549.8%+0.2 pp
Равен28%3.573.2528.3%-0.3 pp
Сеара win22%4.554.2021.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Вила Нова1.71

Домакин share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 47% · Под 53%

Сеара0.85

Гост share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Не 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Вила Нова

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Сеара

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.71
Expected goals
0.85
Вила НоваСеара
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Вила Нова signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сеара signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Вила Нова vs Сеара FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Вила Нова печеливш 50%,Равен 28%,Сеара печеливш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Над 2.5 47% · Current selection Под