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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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BRA Brazil Serie B · Mérkőzés ·

Vila Nova vs Ceara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.56 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem50%
Döntetlen28%
Vendég győzelem22%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Vila NovaCeara
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt53% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
50% / 28% / 22%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ceara win (21.6%)Dupla esély1X78.4%1.28
Felett 47% · Alatt 53%Goals 2.5Alatt53%1.89
Igen 47% · Nem 53%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem53%1.89
2.56 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.2 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vila Nova win50%2.001.8549.8%+0.2 pp
Döntetlen28%3.573.2528.3%-0.3 pp
Ceara win22%4.554.2021.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vila Nova1.71

Hazai share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 47% · Alatt 53%

Ceara0.85

Vendég share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 47% · Nem 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Vila Nova

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Ceara

1.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontok9

SignalHazai clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Nyert probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.71
Expected goals
0.85
Vila NovaCeara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vila Nova signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ceara signalHazai clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Vila Nova vs Ceara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vila Nova nyer 50%,Döntetlen 28%,Ceara nyer 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · 2.5 felett 47% · Current selection Alatt