Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
50% / 28% / 22%MatchresultatHemmaseger50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ceara win (21.6%)Dubbelchans1X78.4%1.28
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 47% · Nej 53%Båda lagen gör målNej53%1.89
2.56 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1——
10.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vila Nova win50%2.001.8549.8%+0.2 pp
Oavgjort28%3.573.2528.3%-0.3 pp
Ceara win22%4.554.2021.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Hemma share of expected goals 66.8%
Total expected goals2.56Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%
Borta share of expected goals 33.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nej 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Hemma-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchVila Nova
DWWLL
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7
SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5
Borta-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchCeara
WLLWW
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9
SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
22%7
Points from supplied form
91.71
Expected goals
0.85Vila NovaCeara
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Vila Nova vs Ceara FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Vila Nova vunnen 50%，Oavgjort 28%，Ceara vunnen 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.56 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。