Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
50% / 28% / 22%Resultado del partidoVictoria local50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ceará win (21.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X78.4%1.28
Más de 47% · Menos de 53%Goals 2.5Menos de53%1.89
Sí 47% · No 53%Ambos equipos marcanNo53%1.89
2.56 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1——
10.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vila Nova win50%2.001.8549.8%+0.2 pp
Empate28%3.573.2528.3%-0.3 pp
Ceará win22%4.554.2021.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Local share of expected goals 66.8%
Total expected goals2.56Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Más de 47% · Menos de 53%
Visitante share of expected goals 33.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSí 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Local-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchVila Nova
DWWLL
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7
SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchCeará
WLLWW
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9
SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Ganado probability excluding draw
22%7
Points from supplied form
91.71
Expected goals
0.85Vila NovaCeará
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Vila Nova vs Ceará FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Vila Nova ganada 50%，Empate 28%，Ceará ganada 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.56 · Más de 2.5 47% · Current selection Menos de。