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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
Magyar
BRA Brazil Serie B · Mérkőzés ·

America MG vs Ponte Preta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem71%
Döntetlen20%
Vendég győzelem10%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem71% selection probability
Projected score2–1America MGPonte Preta
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt56% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
71% / 20% / 10%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ponte Preta win (9.6%)Dupla esély1X90.4%1.11
Felett 44% · Alatt 56%Goals 2.5Alatt56%1.79
Igen 43% · Nem 57%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem57%1.75
2.46 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.4 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapPonte Preta winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
America MG win71%1.411.2971.4%-0.4 pp
Döntetlen20%5.004.7519.4%+0.6 pp
Ponte Preta win10%10.0010.009.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

America MG1.72

Hazai share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 44% · Alatt 56%

Ponte Preta0.74

Vendég share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 43% · Nem 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

America MG

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Ponte Preta

0.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontok2

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Nyert probability excluding draw
10%
3
Points from supplied form
2
1.72
Expected goals
0.74
America MGPonte Preta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01America MG signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ponte Preta signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

America MG vs Ponte Preta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

America MG nyer 71%,Döntetlen 20%,Ponte Preta nyer 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · 2.5 felett 44% · Current selection Alatt