MatchFormula Znajdź mecz
Menu
UTC+8
Strefa czasowaAsia/Shanghai
Polski
BRA Brazylia - Serie B · Mecz ·

America MG vs Ponte Preta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy71%
Remis20%
Wygrana gości10%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy71% selection probability
Projected score2–1America MGPonte Preta
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
71% / 20% / 10%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ponte Preta win (9.6%)Podwójna szansa1X90.4%1.11
Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%Goals 2.5Poniżej56%1.79
Tak 43% · Nie 57%Obie drużyny strzeląNie57%1.75
2.46 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.4 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapPonte Preta winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
America MG win71%1.411.2971.4%-0.4 pp
Remis20%5.004.7519.4%+0.6 pp
Ponte Preta win10%10.0010.009.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

America MG1.72

Gospodarze share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%

Ponte Preta0.74

Goście share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 43% · Nie 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

America MG

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Ponte Preta

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
10%
3
Points from supplied form
2
1.72
Expected goals
0.74
America MGPonte Preta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01America MG signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ponte Preta signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

America MG vs Ponte Preta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

America MG wygrana 71%,Remis 20%,Ponte Preta wygrana 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Powyżej 2.5 44% · Current selection Poniżej