Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
71% / 20% / 10%SpielergebnisHeimsieg71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ponte Preta win (9.6%)Doppelte Chance1X90.4%1.11
Über 44% · Unter 56%Goals 2.5Unter56%1.79
Ja 43% · Nein 57%Beide Teams treffenNein57%1.75
2.46 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1——
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapPonte Preta winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
América MG win71%1.411.2971.4%-0.4 pp
Unentschieden20%5.004.7519.4%+0.6 pp
Ponte Preta win10%10.0010.009.2%+0.8 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Heim share of expected goals 69.9%
Total expected goals2.46Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Über 44% · Unter 56%
Auswärts share of expected goals 30.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nein 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Heim-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchAmérica MG
LLLLW
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3
SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5
Auswärts-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchPonte Preta
LLDLD
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2
SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
71%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
10%3
Points from supplied form
21.72
Expected goals
0.74América MGPonte Preta
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
América MG vs Ponte Preta FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
América MG Gewinn 71%，Unentschieden 20%，Ponte Preta Gewinn 10%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.46 · Über 2.5 44% · Current selection Unter。