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LTU Litouwen - II Lyga · Round 28 ·

Sirijus Klaipeda vs Suduva Marijampole II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.77 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst39%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst39% selection probability
Projected score2–2Sirijus KlaipedaSuduva Marijampole II
Expected goals3.77Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven72% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 22% / 39%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Dubbele Kans1277.6%1.29
Boven 72% · Onder 28%Goals 2.5Boven72%1.39
Ja 72% · Nee 28%Beide teams scorenJa72%1.39
3.77 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSuduva Marijampole II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sirijus Klaipeda win38%2.632.3837.7%+0.3 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Suduva Marijampole II win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sirijus Klaipeda2.07

Thuis share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.77Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 72% · Onder 28%

Suduva Marijampole II1.70

Uit share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 72% · Nee 28%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sirijus Klaipeda

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Suduva Marijampole II

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
39%
11
Points from supplied form
9
2.07
Expected goals
1.70
Sirijus KlaipedaSuduva Marijampole II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sirijus Klaipeda signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Suduva Marijampole II signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sirijus Klaipeda vs Suduva Marijampole II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sirijus Klaipeda gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 22%,Suduva Marijampole II gewonnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.77 · Boven 2.5 72% · Current selection Boven