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LTU Литва - 2-я Лига · Round 28 ·

Сириюс Клайпеда vs Судува Мариямполе II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.77 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев38%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей39%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей39% selection probability
Projected score2–2Сириюс КлайпедаСудува Мариямполе II
Expected goals3.77Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше72% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
38% / 22% / 39%Исход матчаПобеда гостей39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Двойной шанс1277.6%1.29
Больше 72% · Меньше 28%Goals 2.5Больше72%1.39
Да 72% · Нет 28%Обе забьютДа72%1.39
3.77 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapСудува Мариямполе II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сириюс Клайпеда win38%2.632.3837.7%+0.3 pp
Ничья22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Судува Мариямполе II win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сириюс Клайпеда2.07

Хозяева share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.77Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 72% · Меньше 28%

Судува Мариямполе II1.70

Гости share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 72% · Нет 28%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сириюс Клайпеда

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Судува Мариямполе II

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
39%
11
Points from supplied form
9
2.07
Expected goals
1.70
Сириюс КлайпедаСудува Мариямполе II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сириюс Клайпеда signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Судува Мариямполе II signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Сириюс Клайпеда vs Судува Мариямполе II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сириюс Клайпеда выигрыш 38%,Ничья 22%,Судува Мариямполе II выигрыш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.77 · ТБ 2.5 72% · Current selection Больше