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LTU Lituanie - II Lyga · Round 28 ·

Sirijus Klaipeda vs Suduva Marijampole II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.77 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur39%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur39% selection probability
Projected score2–2Sirijus KlaipedaSuduva Marijampole II
Expected goals3.77Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de72% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 22% / 39%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Double chance1277.6%1.29
Plus de 72% · Moins de 28%Goals 2.5Plus de72%1.39
Oui 72% · Non 28%Les deux équipes marquentOui72%1.39
3.77 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSuduva Marijampole II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sirijus Klaipeda win38%2.632.3837.7%+0.3 pp
Nul22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Suduva Marijampole II win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sirijus Klaipeda2.07

Domicile share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.77Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 72% · Moins de 28%

Suduva Marijampole II1.70

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 72% · Non 28%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Sirijus Klaipeda

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Suduva Marijampole II

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
39%
11
Points from supplied form
9
2.07
Expected goals
1.70
Sirijus KlaipedaSuduva Marijampole II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sirijus Klaipeda signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Suduva Marijampole II signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sirijus Klaipeda vs Suduva Marijampole II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sirijus Klaipeda victoire 38%,Nul 22%,Suduva Marijampole II victoire 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.77 · Plus de 2.5 72% · Current selection Plus de