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LTU Litauen - II Lyga · Round 28 ·

Sirijus Klaipeda vs Suduva Marijampole II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.77 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr38%
Uafgjort22%
Udesejr39%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr39% selection probability
Projected score2–2Sirijus KlaipedaSuduva Marijampole II
Expected goals3.77Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
38% / 22% / 39%KampresultatUdesejr39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Dobbeltchance1277.6%1.29
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Ja 72% · Nej 28%Begge hold scorerJa72%1.39
3.77 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSuduva Marijampole II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sirijus Klaipeda win38%2.632.3837.7%+0.3 pp
Uafgjort22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Suduva Marijampole II win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sirijus Klaipeda2.07

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.77Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Suduva Marijampole II1.70

Ude share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 72% · Nej 28%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sirijus Klaipeda

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Suduva Marijampole II

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vundet probability excluding draw
39%
11
Points from supplied form
9
2.07
Expected goals
1.70
Sirijus KlaipedaSuduva Marijampole II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sirijus Klaipeda signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Suduva Marijampole II signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sirijus Klaipeda vs Suduva Marijampole II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sirijus Klaipeda vundet 38%,Uafgjort 22%,Suduva Marijampole II vundet 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.77 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over