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LTU Litauen - II Lyga · Round 28 ·

FK Sveikata vs FK Panevezys II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.46 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr57%
Uafgjort21%
Udesejr22%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr57% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK SveikataFK Panevezys II
Expected goals3.46Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
57% / 21% / 22%KampresultatHjemmesejr57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21%)Dobbeltchance1279%1.27
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Begge hold scorerJa57%1.75
3.46 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapFK Sveikata winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Sveikata win57%1.751.6055.8%+1.2 pp
Uafgjort21%4.764.2021.3%-0.3 pp
FK Panevezys II win22%4.553.9022.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Sveikata2.50

Hjemme share of expected goals 72.3%

Total expected goals3.46Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

FK Panevezys II0.96

Ude share of expected goals 27.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FK Sveikata

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Point9

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FK Panevezys II

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vundet probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
3
2.50
Expected goals
0.96
FK SveikataFK Panevezys II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Sveikata signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Panevezys II signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FK Sveikata vs FK Panevezys II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Sveikata vundet 57%,Uafgjort 21%,FK Panevezys II vundet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over