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LTU Leedu II liiga · Round 28 ·

Sirijus Klaipėda vs FK Sūduva Marijampolė II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–23.77 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit38%
Viik22%
Võõrsilvõit39%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit39% selection probability
Projected score2–2Sirijus KlaipėdaFK Sūduva Marijampolė II
Expected goals3.77Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle72% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
38% / 22% / 39%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Topeltvõimalus1277.6%1.29
Üle 72% · Alla 28%Goals 2.5Üle72%1.39
Jah 72% · Ei 28%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah72%1.39
3.77 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–2
10.1 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapFK Sūduva Marijampolė II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sirijus Klaipėda win38%2.632.3837.7%+0.3 pp
Viik22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
FK Sūduva Marijampolė II win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sirijus Klaipėda2.07

Kodu share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.77Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 72% · Alla 28%

FK Sūduva Marijampolė II1.70

Võõras share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJah 72% · Ei 28%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Sirijus Klaipėda

2.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punktid11

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

FK Sūduva Marijampolė II

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Võit probability excluding draw
39%
11
Points from supplied form
9
2.07
Expected goals
1.70
Sirijus KlaipėdaFK Sūduva Marijampolė II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sirijus Klaipėda signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Sūduva Marijampolė II signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sirijus Klaipėda vs FK Sūduva Marijampolė II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sirijus Klaipėda võit 38%,Viik 22%,FK Sūduva Marijampolė II võit 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.77 · Üle 2.5 72% · Current selection Üle