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LTU Lituania - II Lyga · Round 28 ·

Sirijus Klaipeda vs Suduva Marijampole II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.76 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde38%
Egal22%
Victorie oaspeți39%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți39% selection probability
Projected score2–2Sirijus KlaipedaSuduva Marijampole II
Expected goals3.76Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste72% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
38% / 22% / 39%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Șansă dublă1277.6%1.29
Peste 72% · Sub 28%Goals 2.5Peste72%1.39
Da 72% · Nu 28%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa72%1.39
3.76 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
10.1 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSuduva Marijampole II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sirijus Klaipeda win38%2.632.3837.7%+0.3 pp
Egal22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Suduva Marijampole II win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sirijus Klaipeda2.06

Gazde share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals3.76Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 72% · Sub 28%

Suduva Marijampole II1.70

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 72% · Nu 28%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Sirijus Klaipeda

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Suduva Marijampole II

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Câștig probability excluding draw
39%
11
Points from supplied form
9
2.06
Expected goals
1.70
Sirijus KlaipedaSuduva Marijampole II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sirijus Klaipeda signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Suduva Marijampole II signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sirijus Klaipeda vs Suduva Marijampole II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sirijus Klaipeda câștig 38%,Egal 22%,Suduva Marijampole II câștig 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Peste 2.5 72% · Current selection Peste