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LTU Lituania - II Lyga · Round 28 ·

Sirijus Klaipeda vs Suduva Marijampole II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.77 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa38%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite39%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite39% selection probability
Projected score2–2Sirijus KlaipedaSuduva Marijampole II
Expected goals3.77Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra72% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
38% / 22% / 39%Esito partitaVittoria ospite39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Doppia Chance1277.6%1.29
Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%Goals 2.5Sopra72%1.39
Sì 72% · No 28%Entrambe le squadre segnano72%1.39
3.77 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSuduva Marijampole II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sirijus Klaipeda win38%2.632.3837.7%+0.3 pp
Pareggio22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Suduva Marijampole II win39%2.562.2539.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sirijus Klaipeda2.07

Casa share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.77Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%

Suduva Marijampole II1.70

Trasferta share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 72% · No 28%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sirijus Klaipeda

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Suduva Marijampole II

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vinta probability excluding draw
39%
11
Points from supplied form
9
2.07
Expected goals
1.70
Sirijus KlaipedaSuduva Marijampole II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sirijus Klaipeda signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Suduva Marijampole II signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sirijus Klaipeda vs Suduva Marijampole II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sirijus Klaipeda vinta 38%,Pareggio 22%,Suduva Marijampole II vinta 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.77 · Sopra 2.5 72% · Current selection Sopra