Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
56% / 22% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)Dubbele Kans1278%1.28
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.63 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapNorth Geelong winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Melbourne Srbija win56%1.791.6255.2%+0.8 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp
North Geelong win22%4.553.9022.9%-0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 67.3%
Total expected goals2.63Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%
Uit share of expected goals 32.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFC Melbourne Srbija
LWLWW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9
SignalThuis won 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchNorth Geelong
LLLLD
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1
SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
56%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%9
Points from supplied form
11.77
Expected goals
0.86FC Melbourne SrbijaNorth Geelong
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
FC Melbourne Srbija vs North Geelong FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Melbourne Srbija gewonnen 56%，Gelijkspel 22%，North Geelong gewonnen 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.63 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder。