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INT 澳大利亞維多利亞超級聯賽1 · 比賽 ·

墨爾本Srbija vs 北部吉隆

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝56%
22%
客勝22%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝56% selection probability
Projected score2–1墨爾本Srbija北部吉隆
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.551% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
56% / 22% / 22%比賽結果主勝56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)雙重機會1278%1.28
大 49% · 小 51%Goals 2.551%1.96
是 48% · 否 52%雙方進球52%1.92
2.63 total expected goals正確比分2–1
10.9 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gap北部吉隆 winDifference-0.9 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
墨爾本Srbija win56%1.791.6255.2%+0.8 pp
22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp
北部吉隆 win22%4.553.9022.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

墨爾本Srbija1.77

主隊 share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 49% · 51%

北部吉隆0.86

客隊 share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

墨爾本Srbija

1.80pts / match
5Wins3Drawn0Losses2積分9

Signal主隊 won 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

北部吉隆

0.20pts / match
5Wins0Drawn1Losses4積分1

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
贏 probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.77
Expected goals
0.86
墨爾本Srbija北部吉隆
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01墨爾本Srbija signal主隊 won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02北部吉隆 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

墨爾本Srbija vs 北部吉隆 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

墨爾本Srbija 56%, 22%,北部吉隆 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · 大2.5 49% · Current selection