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INT Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · Maç ·

FC Melbourne Srbija vs North Geelong

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır50%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır22%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır50% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Melbourne SrbijaNorth Geelong
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt51% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
50% / 27% / 22%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes North Geelong win (22.1%)Çifte Şans1X77.9%1.28
Üst 49% · Alt 51%Goals 2.5Alt51%1.96
Evet 48% · Hayır 52%Karşılıklı gol varHayır52%1.92
2.63 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.9 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
FC Melbourne Srbija win50%2.00
Beraberlik27%3.70
North Geelong win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Melbourne Srbija1.77

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 49% · Alt 51%

North Geelong0.86

Deplasman share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 48% · Hayır 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

FC Melbourne Srbija

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi won 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

North Geelong

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.77
Expected goals
0.86
FC Melbourne SrbijaNorth Geelong
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Melbourne Srbija signalEv Sahibi won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02North Geelong signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Melbourne Srbija vs North Geelong FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Melbourne Srbija kazanç 50%,Beraberlik 27%,North Geelong kazanç 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · 2.5 Üst 49% · Current selection Alt