Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
50% / 27% / 22%Esito partitaVittoria casa50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes North Geelong win (22.1%)Doppia Chance1X77.9%1.28
Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%Goals 2.5Sotto51%1.96
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
2.63 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1——
10.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
FC Melbourne Srbija win50%2.00
Pareggio27%3.70
North Geelong win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 67.3%
Total expected goals2.63Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%
Trasferta share of expected goals 32.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSì 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFC Melbourne Srbija
LWLWW
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9
SignalCasa won 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchNorth Geelong
LLLLD
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1
SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Vinta probability excluding draw
22%9
Points from supplied form
11.77
Expected goals
0.86FC Melbourne SrbijaNorth Geelong
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
FC Melbourne Srbija vs North Geelong FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Melbourne Srbija vinta 50%，Pareggio 27%，North Geelong vinta 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.63 · Sopra 2.5 49% · Current selection Sotto。