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INT オーストラリア ビクトリアプレミアリーグ1 · 試合 ·

FCメルボルンセルビア vs ノースジーロング

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利56%
引き分け22%
アウェイ勝利22%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利56% selection probability
Projected score2–1FCメルボルンセルビアノースジーロング
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
56% / 22% / 22%試合結果ホーム勝利56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)ダブルチャンス1278%1.28
オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%Goals 2.5アンダー51%1.96
はい 48% · いいえ 52%両チーム得点いいえ52%1.92
2.63 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapノースジーロング winDifference-0.9 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FCメルボルンセルビア win56%1.791.6255.2%+0.8 pp
引き分け22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp
ノースジーロング win22%4.553.9022.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FCメルボルンセルビア1.77

ホーム share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%

ノースジーロング0.86

アウェイ share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 48% · いいえ 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FCメルボルンセルビア

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ノースジーロング

0.20pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn1Losses4ポイント1

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
勝ち probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.77
Expected goals
0.86
FCメルボルンセルビアノースジーロング
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FCメルボルンセルビア signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ノースジーロング signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FCメルボルンセルビア vs ノースジーロング FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FCメルボルンセルビア 勝ち 56%,引き分け 22%,ノースジーロング 勝ち 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · オーバー 2.5 49% · Current selection アンダー