What is the BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums 2000 prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 49%.

What are the BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums 2000 1X2 probabilities?

BFC Daugavpils win 49%, draw 25%, and Tukums 2000 win 26%.

How many goals are expected in BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums 2000?

The displayed projection is 2.88 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 55%.

MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd

UTC+8

LVA Letland - Virsliga · Round 25 · za 8 aug, 21:00

BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums 2000

Full model forecast，stats and analysis

Thuis form

Projected score2–12.88 expected goals

Uit form

Thuiswinst49%

Gelijkspel25%

Uitwinst26%

Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 49% selection probability

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst49% selection probability

Projected score2–1BFC Daugavpils — Tukums 2000

Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Boven55% for the selected side

Beide teams scorenJa57% for the selected side

Expected corners9.0Onder 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds

49% / 25% / 26%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst49%2.04

Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbele Kans1275.1%1.33

Boven 55% · Onder 45%Goals 2.5Boven55%1.82

Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75

2.88 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——

9.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapBFC Daugavpils winDifference+0.4 pp

OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

BFC Daugavpils win49%2.041.8548.6%+0.4 pp

Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

Tukums 2000 win26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFC Daugavpils1.72

Thuis share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 55% · Onder 45%

Tukums 20001.16

Uit share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

BFC Daugavpils

1.80pts / match

Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Tukums 2000

0.60pts / match

Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

49%

Gewonnen probability excluding draw

26%

Points from supplied form

1.72

Expected goals

1.16

BFC DaugavpilsTukums 2000

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFC Daugavpils signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tukums 2000 signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions