MatchFormula Trouver un match
Menu
UTC+8
Fuseau horaireAsia/Shanghai
Français
LVA Lettonie - Virsliga · Round 25 ·

BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums 2000

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile49%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur26%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile49% selection probability
Projected score2–1BFC DaugavpilsTukums 2000
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
49% / 25% / 26%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Double chance1275%1.33
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 57% · Non 43%Les deux équipes marquentOui57%1.75
2.88 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapBFC Daugavpils winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
BFC Daugavpils win49%2.041.8548.6%+0.4 pp
Nul25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Tukums 2000 win26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFC Daugavpils1.72

Domicile share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%

Tukums 20001.16

Extérieur share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 57% · Non 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

BFC Daugavpils

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Tukums 2000

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gagné probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.72
Expected goals
1.16
BFC DaugavpilsTukums 2000
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFC Daugavpils signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tukums 2000 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums 2000 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BFC Daugavpils victoire 49%,Nul 25%,Tukums 2000 victoire 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de