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LVA Латвия - Вирслига · Round 25 ·

БФК Даугавпилс vs Тукумс 2000

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина45%
Равен27%
Победа за госта28%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина45% selection probability
Projected score2–1БФК ДаугавпилсТукумс 2000
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
45% / 27% / 28%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Двоен шанс1272.6%1.38
Над 55% · Под 45%Goals 2.5Над55%1.82
Да 57% · Не 43%И двата отбора да отбележатДа57%1.75
2.88 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.0 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
БФК Даугавпилс win45%2.22
Равен27%3.70
Тукумс 2000 win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

БФК Даугавпилс1.72

Домакин share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 55% · Под 45%

Тукумс 20001.16

Гост share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Не 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

БФК Даугавпилс

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Тукумс 2000

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
28%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.72
Expected goals
1.16
БФК ДаугавпилсТукумс 2000
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01БФК Даугавпилс signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Тукумс 2000 signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

БФК Даугавпилс vs Тукумс 2000 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

БФК Даугавпилс печеливш 45%,Равен 27%,Тукумс 2000 печеливш 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Над 2.5 55% · Current selection Над