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EUR UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Wedstrijd ·

Lyon vs Sparta Praag

Archived pre-match prediction

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst49%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst26%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 49% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst49% selection probability
Projected score2–1LyonSparta Praag
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
49% / 25% / 26%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dubbele Kans1275.3%1.33
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.72 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Lyon win49%2.04
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Sparta Praag win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lyon1.62

Thuis share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

Sparta Praag1.10

Uit share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lyon

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sparta Praag

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.62
Expected goals
1.10
LyonSparta Praag
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lyon signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sparta Praag signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lyon vs Sparta Praag FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lyon gewonnen 49%,Gelijkspel 25%,Sparta Praag gewonnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven