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Lione vs Sparta Praga

Archived pre-match prediction

Casa form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa61%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite17%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa61% selection probability
Projected score2–1LioneSparta Praga
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
61% / 21% / 17%Esito partitaVittoria casa61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Praga win (17.2%)Doppia Chance1X82.8%1.21
Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%Goals 2.5Sopra53%1.89
Sì 52% · No 48%Entrambe le squadre segnano52%1.92
2.77 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lione win61%1.641.5062.7%
Pareggio21%4.764.5020.9%
Sparta Praga win17%5.885.7516.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lione1.82

Casa share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%

Sparta Praga0.95

Trasferta share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Lione

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sparta Praga

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vinta probability excluding draw
17%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.82
Expected goals
0.95
LioneSparta Praga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lione signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sparta Praga signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Lione vs Sparta Praga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lione vinta 61%,Pareggio 21%,Sparta Praga vinta 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Sopra 2.5 53% · Current selection Sopra